Monday, February 18, 2008

Hillary's Last Stand



Hillary Clinton's primary race has come down to a last stand in Texas and Ohio.

The NY Times reports that most outside and within her campaign agree that she must win these two states, with primaries on March 4th, in order to have a real chance at beating Obama.
“She has to win both Ohio and Texas comfortably, or she’s out,” said one superdelegate who has endorsed Mrs. Clinton, and who spoke on condition of anonymity to share a candid assessment.

Several Clinton superdelegates, whose votes could help decide the nomination, said Monday that they were wavering in the face of Mr. Obama’s momentum after victories in Washington State, Nebraska, Louisiana and Maine last weekend.
But, sccording to the blog Captain's Quarters, Obama must win 70% of the remaining delegates in order to win outright.
However, does the situation really require the panic seen in this report? After all, none of these states are winner-take-all. If Hillary runs close in them, she can keep the delegate gap fairly narrow.
Either way, it looks like no one will be dropping out until the Democratic Convention in August.

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