Monday, March 24, 2008

Hillary's Winning Scenario


AP

The New York Times' Adam Nagourney recently wrote a column analyzing Clinton's remaining chances.

There is only one obvious way for Hillary Clinton to clinch the Democratic nominee seat.

First, she must trounce Obama in Pennsylvania's and Indiana's primaries in April. This would backup worries that blue-collar workers are weary of Obama. It is believed he lost Ohio because of this.

She would also have to win Puerto Rico, which might make up for Latino votes lost with Gov. Bill Richardson's support of Obama.

These two events would need to be followed by enough of an Obama crash in the polls to convince Democratic super delegates that Clinton is the only one who can defeat McCain.

Obama is argues that the will of the democratic populace should not be overturned by the elite super delegates. This argument is so strong that it will probably take a steep decline in the polls to counter it.

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